Epoch AI

Total available computing capacity from AI chips across all major designers has grown by approximately 3.3x per year since 2022, enabling larger-scale model development and consumer adoption. These estimates are inferred based on revenue data, other financial disclosures, and analyst reports. Data coverage varies by manufacturer: Nvidia and Google data begin in 2022 while others start in 2024. Epoch's work is free to use, distribute, and reproduce provided the source and authors are credited under the Creative Commons BY license. We fit a trend to the quarterly quantities of AI compute sold, as measured in H100-equivalents. We find that computing capacity has been growing by 3.3x per year, equivalent to a doubling time of 7 months.